Close, But No Cigar
"A near success that still falls short of actually winning or succeeding."
Rooted in the real prize structure of American carnivals and fairgrounds in the early 20th century, where cigars, rather than stuffed toys, were a common prize for games of skill like the "high striker," where a player swings a mallet to send a weight up a tower to ring a bell. A stallholder watching a player narrowly miss the target would call out "close, but no cigar" to explain the near-miss without a prize. The earliest confirmed print citation is a 1929 newspaper headline in the Long Island Daily Press, though the carnival-floor phrase was very likely already in casual, unrecorded use before that.
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